Friday Great Value Trade (CVNA)

by | Aug 30, 2024

During the pandemic, Carvana (CVNA) was the new hot thing, rising from $22 to around $372.

Everyone needed a car and no one wanted to be around people. 

What a perfect stock. 

Until people were able to go outdoors.

And the Bear Market hit.

Then it became the worst stock. 

After its meteoric rise, CVNA fell way below its long-term moving average (aka “fair value”) and even got close to the lower Band. 

The former shining star was sitting down at $9 still in 2023.

Here’s the Daily chart:


But at that time in 2023, “fair value” was up around $150. 

Yes, it might not get all the way up to that level, but it might have been worth a shot. 

Even if it went from $9 to $100, that’s a massive win. 

And that’s what it did.

Since 2023, CVNA has gone from the $9 level all the way through its “fair value” line at $115. 

That was a huge deep value move. 

And the move may not be over.

Happy trading,

— Scott Welsh


Rate Cuts Are Coming… And That Means Volatility!

Did you know a recession almost always occurred within 12 months following a rate cut…?

With the Fed’s recent shift in tone, that cut could come as soon as September!

 

But this type of trade tends of SHINE in those kinds of markets!


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