Revisiting My Amazon Earnings Play and Why Leverage Beats Options During IV Crush

by | Feb 9, 2026

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I’ll level with you about a decision I made on Amazon (AMZN) heading into earnings last week because it’s a great lesson.

While a lot of traders were piling into options, I went the opposite direction — and after the numbers dropped, I’m glad I did.

I picked up 10 shares of Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X Shares (AMZU) at $32. When it pulled back to $27, the position was down around 15%.

That stinks, but I wasn’t sweating it. I kept the size light, and this felt like the kind of move that can come back. It wasn’t a major issue for me because holding shares gives me room to sit through volatility without the clock working against me.

If I’d taken the same directional shot with calls, the story would have looked very different. With the post‑earnings implied volatility crush, I would’ve been staring at a 90% loss instead of a small drawdown.

When a Pullback Actually Improves the Setup

Amazon has spent about 15 months grinding sideways, doing a whole lot of nothing. But the deeper pullback created a more interesting pattern than I expected. The initial setup was targeting around $265, but the updated structure points much higher — about $365, with the possibility of hitting $435 if things get spicy.

That shift matters. It changes the risk‑reward profile and opens the door for a much larger move than the one I was originally trading for.

Sure, the stock is still under the Daily Roadmap line, which keeps things technically in a downtrend. But if it can reclaim that level, the whole picture sharpens fast.

Why Leverage Made More Sense Than Options

Because I’m using a 2X leveraged ETF, that upside target becomes even more compelling. A move of roughly 110% in AMZN translates closer to 220% in AMZU, which pushes it toward the mid‑$80s.

And since there’s no expiration date, I don’t have to worry about theta chewing the position to pieces while the chart works itself out.

That’s exactly why I leaned into leverage instead of options. Market conditions were shifting, momentum had potential, and using a leveraged ETF gave me a way to ride that shift without a ticking clock.

If this starts getting going, I want to be on it — but in a way that lets me stay in the trade long enough for the setup to actually play out.

I’ll sit through a temporary $50 pullback for the chance at a move that’s multiple times that size. If the pattern breaks, fine. But if it doesn’t, the payoff is worth the patience.

Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading

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