🚨 Join Alex & Geof at 2:30 p.m. ET🚨
Alex is breaking down a unique market setup that has the potential to go quantum alongside his major SpaceX prediction for the week. Plus, he’ll reveal exactly why he believes META is dead in the water [tap to join us for Profit Panel]
I’ve got to level with you about something that took me way too long to figure out.
Before I ever uncovered what truly works, I spent seven years, literally, in the desert, working analytically to figure out something that would help me get in at the right time.
I poured everything into trying to crack this market code. Spent decades trying just about everything to predict market moves, and here’s the uncomfortable truth — none of it worked.
I tried every indicator system strategy you can think of to help me time my entries. And I mean everything.
Have you ever heard of something called a long-short alpha generator? Of course you haven’t.
That’s the kind of pie-in-the-sky strategy that only works for MIT mathematicians and the ultra-wealthy who pay them to trade for them. But I tested it. I even wrote a white paper about it.
Just like I’ve tested dozens of other strategies over the years. I was relentless. I was determined. And I was approaching it all completely wrong.
The Turning Point
Then something shifted.
I had an epiphany, digging into my knowledge of statistics and probabilities. It wasn’t about predicting where the market should go next, but about where it was historically highly unlikely to trade.
That one shift completely rewired how I think about the markets.
Every traditional approach I’d tried — the mind-numbing fundamentals, those lagging indicators I’d tried and failed with so many times before — all of those approaches focus on projecting a move and trying to trade it.
That’s the game most traders play. They’re trying to predict direction, chasing moves, buying what looks hot.
But the real path to success wasn’t about prediction at all. It was about identifying where probability had already done the heavy lifting — where price statistically struggles to reach or sustain.
A Probability Advantage Hiding in Plain Sight
There’s an ironclad historical statistical fact hiding under the surface of pretty much all stock market moves, studied by institutions like the Federal Reserve and the CBOE and others.
The math doesn’t lie. The probabilities don’t change.
Once I stopped trying to outsmart the market and focused on where it statistically doesn’t go, everything changed.
These days I simply place a structured trade around the same time each day, define my risk clearly, and let probability do the work. No guessing, no forecasting — just positioning where the odds are stacked.
And as long as the statistical behavior holds, you can stack wins consistently over time and let the edge compound.
That’s the foundation of how I trade now. Not guessing. Not hoping. Just probabilities stacked heavily in my favor.
And that makes all the difference.
Talk soon,
JD
The Rational Trader
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.Â
P.S. We’re Turning to the Energy Sector for OpportunitiesÂ
There are only two sectors that seem to be making any headway in the market this year.
Tech — obviously, some of the biggest names on the indexes, pulling in some of the market’s largest and deep-pocketed investors.
And Energy — which has seen a boom since the Iran Conflict began. And now that’s where we’ll be putting our attention for trade opportunities.
I’ve flagged a couple I want you to see, and I’ll be revealing the idea at 2 p.m. ET sharp.
Everyone who shows up will see:
- Why we’re picking the energy sector over tech for trades
- What opportunities are currently open for traders
- How anyone can begin snagging these setups while the window is still open
I can’t make trading guarantees, of course…
But I would like to show you exactly how you can take advantage of the effects this prolonged Iran conflict is having on the market.
