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Sometimes the market hands you a pattern so reliable you almost don’t believe it at first.
I was going through my seasonal dashboard recently, and one stock jumped to the top of the list that stopped me in my tracks: Morgan Stanley (MS).
This stock has gone up every single year for the last 10 years between June 23 and July 10. That’s a perfect 10-year track record.
The average return during this 17-day window is 6.6%, which is exceptional for such a short holding period. What’s interesting is how well this fits into what Financials (XLF) have been doing lately.
Financials have been a very sneaky strength area, with names like JPMorgan (JPM) showing strong structure and Citigroup (C) looking amazing on the chart.
Even outside the big banks, momentum’s been building. Robinhood (HOOD), for example, has surged roughly 40% the past month. All of this reinforces the idea that the sector as a whole is powering up — and Morgan Stanley sits right in the middle of that rotation.
Why This Setup Makes Sense Right Now
When I pulled up the Morgan Stanley chart, I had to pause. On the weekly time frame, it’s a clean structure with an intact trend, and now the seasonal tailwind is opening up right as financials strengthen.
Morgan Stanley does have earnings on July 15, but the seasonal window exits on July 10. If you follow the pattern exactly, you’re out before earnings, which removes a major risk factor.
How to Play It
You can approach this setup in multiple ways depending on your risk tolerance. A straightforward call option works, or you can structure spreads if you want more defined risk.
The key is understanding the nature of the opportunity: a 17-day window backed by a decade of consistent performance, supported by sector strength across major financial names and even high‑momentum outliers. If the stock delivers even part of its typical move, you’re looking at solid potential in a tight time frame.
If you want to avoid any proximity to earnings, just exit on July 10 as the seasonal data suggests. It’s a clean, disciplined approach supported by history and current market behavior.
This is the kind of setup worth paying attention to — a repeatable pattern with statistical backing, a sector on the upswing and a chart that confirms the story.
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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