The S&P 500 and Dow are near record highs — but don’t let those numbers fool you. There’s carnage under the surface. We’re in a split-screen economy where indexes look stable while individual stocks like Oracle (ORCL) and Microsoft (MSFT) are getting crushed by AI disruption.
I sat down with Emily Turner of Unfiltered Finance to discuss how everything hinges on Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings after the close today. It’s the poster child for the AI era. CEO Jensen Huang’s update will either give the market permission to rally, or be the nail in the coffin that drives us down 10-15%. I’m cautious because we’ve seen these fake outs before.
We’ll cover:
📉 Market Indecision: We’ve seen 11 weeks of sideways movement while AI disruption threatens white-collar jobs and the Financials (XLF) sector.
🤖 The Nvidia Factor: It accounts for 7% of the S&P 500. Its price action alone determines if the bullish side wins or if we see a massive slide.
⚠️ Beware the Fake Out: In November, NVDA gapped up on good news before sliding into a 3% intraday reversal. Price action matters more than the report.
📅 Seasonal Headwinds: February through April has a historically poor track record. This weakness creates a setup where a “pop and fade” is likely.
💰 My Play: I’m a buyer, but I’m dollar cost averaging. Don’t get married to being bullish right now.
Check out the video up top and then don’t forget to join me at 9 a.m. ET weekdays for the Daily Profit Plan!
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
In the last 18 months, one “lazy” day trade has delivered 500 wins with an 89% accuracy!
How has this been possible considering all the sharp reversals, tariffs crashes and everything in between?
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We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but no one can guarantee the future. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Stated results are from live published alerts between 8/26/24 and 2/20/25. The win rate has been 89% on the options with an average return of 14.62% over a one-day hold time.
