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I’ve been getting a lot of questions about Bitcoin lately and I’ll be honest — the setup right now doesn’t excite me the way it did a few months ago. Even with
Tuesday’s surge to $94K, the chart is still stuck in a repetitive sequence of high, low, consolidation that keeps breaking lower. And that pattern usually signals a market losing momentum rather than gearing up for a strong move.
That said, I’m not interested in calling bottoms or tops just for the sake of it. What matters is identifying the levels where Bitcoin either repairs the technical damage or confirms more downside.
Those levels have become clearer than ever.
The Two Levels That Matter Most
Today’s push above $94K is encouraging but Bitcoin still needs to reclaim the $105K to $110K area before I treat any rally as meaningful. That is the zone where the market breaks the pattern pressing it lower. Until price pushes above that band, upside remains corrective.
On the downside, I’m watching $80K. A controlled drop into that level would not surprise me and if buyers step in there and price starts working higher, that could form a legitimate bottom. But if $80K fails the market opens the door to a grind lower before any real recovery can take shape.
These two zones now frame the trade: Here is the key — $80K as critical support and $105-$110K as must-reclaim resistance.
Why Broader Markets Now Matter More Than Ever
Bitcoin does not move independently anymore — it is tied to tech stocks, liquidity and overall risk appetite. When markets like the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) heat up and liquidity flows improve, Bitcoin tends to follow.
When they cool off Bitcoin drifts with them.
An aggressive year-end rally likely depends on seeing strength in the S&P 500 (SPY) and QQQ. If risk appetite returns and equities start climbing again, Bitcoin can catch that tailwind.
If stocks stay under pressure, Bitcoin will have a hard time building meaningful momentum even if it holds support.
This is why the next couple of months will hinge on more than just a price pattern. The broader market has to cooperate. If we see improving sentiment, better liquidity and a bounce in tech, then a hold at $80K could set up a sharp recovery. But if risk remains off and flows stay tight Bitcoin will continue grinding within this range.
Right now, I’m letting the market reveal which path it wants. The levels are defined, the correlations are clear and there is no reason to force trades until price tells the story.
I’ll see you in the markets.
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver Trading
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