March 29, 2023

You Asked For It

To do this, the Fed created hypothetical scenarios that simulate adverse economic conditions, such as high unemployment, falling home prices, and a sharp decline in GDP. The scenarios also incorporate factors such as changes in interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.
March 29, 2023

Make That Two

Hedge fund net exposure to equities (which means subtracting short exposure from long exposure) is as low as it’s been in three years.
March 28, 2023

Bank Talk

Back in 2008, banks were ignoring the houses foreclosing in their own neighborhoods while taking free money in the form of highly-leveraged derivatives based on false mortgage grades from suspect rating companies. This time it's different.
March 27, 2023

Your Monday AAPL Update

The definition of a technical uptrend involves higher highs and higher lows. We’re now seeing that with AAPL’s stock. So, since the bottom in January, we’re officially in an uptrend. 
March 27, 2023

Battle Lines Finely Balanced Between Buyers and Sellers

The S&P is clinging on for all its worth around the range within which it has been trapped the last several months.
March 24, 2023

The Back Door to Centralized Banking

Depositor flight to higher-yielding alternatives will continue. And since the bonds bank’s own will be permanently worth less than the deposits they received to buy them, the only way to prevent the inevitable panic is to guarantee all deposits.
March 24, 2023

When I Say Capitalist

When I say capitalism, I mean free markets. I mean unfettered choice and competition that […]
March 24, 2023

When I Say Commie

When I say commie, I mean all forms of forced collectivism. I mean communists, Marxists, […]
March 22, 2023

The Most Critical Fed Meeting So Far

The one word I'm not hearing anyone use to describe the banking crisis is "accounting."
March 22, 2023

Semiconductors Looking Strong

The price moved up through the neck line (light blue line), setting up a price target above the neck line equal to the distance of the move from the head to the neck. 
December 9, 2022

Headwind #3: The Case for the Coming Market Crash

  For months now I’ve been laying out my case for dramatically lower stock prices.  […]
December 9, 2022

The Secret Hidden Inside Today’s Hotter-Than-Expected PPI Number — Don’s Daily Brief

The Producers Price Index (PPI) came in hotter than expected. But it wasn’t the typically […]
December 8, 2022

“Picture Perfect” Volume Profile Setup For This Financial Services Stock — Don’s Daily Brief

I was looking at my scanner this morning… And one particular ticker popped up with […]
December 7, 2022

Travel & Leisure Stocks Turn Bearish: Short This Airline Now! — Don’s Daily Brief

I’ve been seeing pretty significant bearish setups in travel and leisure stocks: airlines, cruise lines, […]
December 6, 2022

Markets Sink As The Crypto Fallout Continues (How To Play It) — Don’s Daily Brief

Markets are off about 45 points, after a rough Friday and Monday. Looks like markets […]
December 2, 2022

Strong Jobs Report Means The Fed Can’t Back Down On Rate Hikes — Don’s Daily Brief

The unemployment report came out this morning. A lot of job creation means there are […]
December 1, 2022

Meanwhile, In China…

  It may surprise you to know that I’m a pro-union person.  Not the “beat […]
December 1, 2022

All Signs Point To RECESSION — Don’s Daily Brief

Today we continued getting data on purchasing managers’ indexes — and they’re all signaling contraction […]
November 30, 2022

Consensus View: Recession Up Next — Don’s Daily Brief

The possibility of China reopening — that’s what the bulls are holding on to. But […]