Metals Whipsawed Yesterday — Here’s the Simple Way to Read It
Big red candle, bigger context. On Profit Panel, Geof Smith explained why yesterday’s metals drop looked scary intraday — but on the calendar it’s a normal shakeout near highs.
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Tag: spreads – debit
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The Rational Trader: Arbitrage in Action: A 62% SPY Win
JD explains how a flat factor score vs. futures up 50 bps led to a SPY 665/664 put debit spread — closed for a 62% gain as the market drifted back to flat.
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The Rational Trader: Costco Earnings: A 2% Move Could Do It
JD breaks down a Costco earnings setup: a call debit spread that costs about $8, pays up to $20, and needs less than a 2% move higher to hit full profit.
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Silver vs. Gold After a Rate Cut
Silver often outpaces gold after a Fed rate cut — but only with confirmation. Geof Smith explains how to use SLV with smart structure, timing, and defined risk.
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The Rational Trader: A Restoration Hardware Call Spread Ahead of Earnings
JD sets up a call debit spread on Restoration Hardware ahead of earnings, buying the $227.50 call and selling the $242.50 call to follow institutional signals.
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The Rational Trader: Kroger Earnings and the Cash Machine
JD targets Kroger ahead of earnings with a call debit spread — buying the $66 call, selling the $68 call for $1.00, doubling if the stock moves just 1.6% higher.
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The Rational Trader: Two Sigma Put Spreads (GameStop & Chewy)
JD highlights two setups: a put debit spread on GameStop and another on Chewy, both defined-risk trades designed to capture mean reversion from stretched levels.
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The Rational Trader: A Bitcoin Arbitrage Play With Defined Risk
JD shifts from earnings to arbitrage, spotting a 100-basis-point gap in Bitcoin and playing it with a defined-risk put debit spread on BDO.
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NVDA week: Two Ways to Win the Same Tape
NVDA earnings set the stage. Here’s how pros frame the two paths — momentum or fade — with defined-risk trades.
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The Rational Trader: Powell Won’t Save You (plus 3 Mean Reversion Trades)
Three new trades today — Toll, TJX, and Lowe’s — plus JD’s take on why Powell’s September rate cut isn’t the sure thing Wall Street thinks it is.
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The Market Maker Signal You Can Actually Use
Rising implied volatility can tip you off to a move before it happens — here’s how traders use it with capped risk.
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The Rational Trader: Two Call Credit Spreads in Today’s Sweet Spot
Back to credit spreads — and two overbought names are in my sights today, both set up with call credit spreads I expect to play out quickly after earnings.
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