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Silver vs. Gold After a Rate Cut
How to Use SLV the Smart Way
Our pros spent part of Friday’s Profit Panel on a simple idea that many investors miss: after rate cuts, silver often outpaces gold.
Geof Smith walked through the why, the levels to watch, and the practical ways to trade it using SLV.
Why Silver Can Lead Here
Geof’s view was straightforward. When the Fed eases, the dollar often softens.
A softer dollar tends to support metals. Gold gets the headlines, but silver can move faster because it’s a “smaller” market and has an extra industrial tailwind.
In short: if the cut cycle sticks, silver can have more room to run.
The Line In The Sand
Geof pointed to a simple trigger: a close back above a key resistance area on SLV (he referenced ~$43 in Friday’s discussion).
The idea is not to chase every pop intraday. You wait for a daily close above the level, and then you look for it to hold. That keeps you from buying the first head-fake.
How To Structure The Trade
Geof emphasized two approaches that fit silver’s rhythm — sharp bursts followed by cool-offs:
- Go a little further out in time. Silver tends to surge and then rest. That favors options with more time (think a few months out), so you’re not fighting fast time decay.
- Earn income while you wait. If you want to accumulate on dips, Geof likes selling cash-secured puts at prices you’d be happy to own (he mentioned the mid-to-high $30s as an example area). If assigned, you’re in at a discount; if not, you keep the premium.
- Keep risk defined if you prefer spreads. A put credit spread or a call debit spread caps your worst-case loss on day one. That’s useful if you’re testing the move rather than going all-in.
He also drew a simple contrast: use GLD if you want steadier movement, but be careful with short-dated SLV calls — those can get chewed up by time decay if silver pauses.
Risk And Exits
Nothing changes our house rules. Start small. If SLV closes and holds above that ~$43 resistance zone, add to the trade in steps. If it falls back below on a daily close, step aside and wait for the next setup.
For options, pre-set a reasonable profit target (for example, taking spreads off near a 50% gain) and a time stop a couple of weeks before expiration if the move hasn’t materialized.
Bottom Line
Per Geof, silver usually does better than gold when the Fed is easing, but the key is proof — a close above resistance and enough time on your options so one slow week doesn’t sink the idea.
SLV gives you a simple vehicle, and with defined risk and patient entries, you can let the move come to you instead of guessing.
We’re back at it today with more little-known market knowledge:
Click here to watch the on-demand replay!
To your prosperity,
The ProsperityPub Team
🎰 Did You Catch This?!
SMR Follow-Up: From Idea to Trade—Fast
Alex didn’t chase the headline—he waited for strength into the close and used a defined-risk setup.
By the next session, the SMR (NuScale) play was already moving, and the plan did its job.
See the quick breakdown of the setup!
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Quick hits from Friday’s show
- AppLovin (APP) premium play. Trend stayed firm; the desk highlighted a short-dated income idea using calls sold above price, with fills around $1.32 on the example strike. Defined risk and tight management were emphasized.
- Economic calendar + surprise factor. The crew looked ahead to this week, which stacks home sales, PMIs, Michigan sentiment, durable goods. A reminder from Friday: a hot Philly Fed number hit just as the market sold off—data can be counter-intuitive near turns.
- Tariffs vs. shop-floor reality. Anecdote from a precision-machining shop supplying BWXT: orders are picking up despite tariff chatter—watch what companies report, not just headlines.
- China watch (FXI). One position held through Monday with an eye on deal headlines (trade/TikTok). Call activity showed up; the view was to let news + price confirm before adding.
- Market breadth check. Participation widened beyond the mega caps. When more names join the advance, trends tend to stick better—something the team is tracking into quarter-end.
- Bloom Energy (BE) 101. Flow pinged the name; quick explainer on solid-oxide fuel cells turning natural gas or hydrogen into electricity without combustion—relevant for utilities and data centers.
- Tooling update. The team’s options scanner is slated to roll out to production by Sept 29, with broader launch use in October—built to surface unusual activity without heavy lifting.
