If you’re trying to make sense of this market, good luck. One minute we’re down 5%, the next we’re up 3% on rumors that turn out to be fake.
That’s not a value-based market. That’s not even a reaction-based market. That’s pure liquidity.
And right now, the only thing I trust to tell me where this market’s heading next is insider buying.
Let me explain.
This Isn’t About Tariffs, Inflation, or the Fed
If you zoom in on individual sectors right now — tech, staples, gold, even Bitcoin — they’re all moving together.
That makes no sense.
Tariffs shouldn’t affect Walmart and Nvidia the same way. Gold and energy shouldn’t spike and dip in tandem. But they are.
That’s not fundamentals talking. That’s not news. That’s trillions of dollars being shuffled in and out of the market by algos, institutions, and panicked retail traders.
This market is being run by raw liquidity.
Want to Know When It’s Safe to Get Bullish?
Don’t wait on another press conference or earnings report.
Watch for insider buying.
When execs and board members start buying up their own stock, they’re not going to be guessing — they’ve got skin in the game. And it’s one of the clearest real-world signs that liquidity is coming back into the market.
In 2020, the massive run-up wasn’t because valuations were suddenly amazing. It was because trillions of dollars flooded the market — through bailouts, loans, and stimulus.
That’s not happening this time. So the only way we’re going to see a meaningful bounce is if liquidity shows up some other way. And insider buying is how we’ll know.
Until Then, I’m Playing Defense
No hero trades. No guessing the bottom. I’m sticking with:
- Pair trades
- Covered call
- Mechanical strategies
I’ve started nibbling on some names — like the Magnificent 7 — but they key word is nibbling.
I’m not going in big until we hit a major correction level on the S&P and we see insider buying start to ramp up.
Until then, stay nimble. And stay smart.
I just covered this and more in my FREE bi-weekly Mapping the Market session.
📺 Watch the whole episode here — and don’t forget to get in my FREE Telegram channel to be notified every time I’m going live.
— Nate Tucci
P.S. Here’s one mechanical strategy I’m leaning heavily into.
