Let’s just call it what it is…
The headlines have started getting bearish again. Tariffs, inflation whispers, political noise…
You name it, we’ve heard it.
And while those stories might spike volatility, they don’t always move the market the way you’d expect.
I showed a chart this week that tracked S&P 500 returns over the last 35 years — and right alongside it, every “scary” news event you can think of. You know what stuck out? Almost none of those stories ended up being lasting market movers.
Nine times out of 10, the folks who sat in cash “waiting for clarity” missed major upside. So, what do we focus on instead?
The data. The setups. The repeatable signals.
Right now, the Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 56. That’s right in the “greed” zone… but not overheated.
We’re also seeing a strong base of support under the market: about 65–70% of stocks are above their 50-day moving average. That’s bullish.
Even better — hedge funds just made their biggest tech stock buy since 2013. That’s not an opinion — it’s straight from Goldman Sachs.
The last time we saw a signal like this?
It was the bottom of the 2022 bear market.
So how do we position ourselves in June?
We’re heading into a seasonally choppy stretch, so I’m staying selective. But the sectors I’m watching closely are:
- Communication Services (XLC) — best seasonal performer in June
- Technology (XLK) — hedge funds are loading up, and it’s still a leader
- Industrials (XLI) — quietly been one of the strongest sectors this year
Meanwhile, I’m cutting financials from the list (at least for now) and keeping an eye on materials as a potential short setup.
So no, I don’t think this is the time to sit out.
Just the opposite.
You don’t need to predict every headline. Just follow the setups.
And we’ll keep covering the strongest ones at 10 a.m. ET every morning on The Opening Playbook!
Speaking of which…
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APA Corp. (APA) In Bullish Mode
APA has really caught fire since April 2025, and a big part of that story is its knockout Q1 earnings. The company didn’t just meet Wall Street’s expectations — it beat them handily, which got investors excited and sent the stock up about 8% right after the news broke.
This was a big turnaround considering APA had a rough start to the year. But once the company showed off its strong performance, especially in its key U.S., Egypt and North Sea operations, people started to feel a lot better about where APA was headed.
And now we see green again on our Newton Indicator. The big green bar also confirms the Newton momentum. APA could be ready to make a run up to previous highs and beyond.
FactSet (FDS) Looking Bearish
FactSet (FDS) has been a reliable name in the financial data space, but the chart’s telling a different story heading into the second half of 2025. We’re seeing consistently lower highs, weak relative strength versus the broader market, and a failure to hold key support levels.
While the S&P 500 has been grinding higher, FDS has been quietly rolling over — and that kind of divergence usually isn’t a good sign. Add in slowing revenue growth and pressure from cheaper, faster fintech competitors, and you’ve got a recipe for underperformance.
This isn’t about panic-selling the stock — it’s about recognizing when a name is going cold.
Confirming this, our Newton Indicator just dramatically lost momentum, turning red on a big red bar down. FDS could be headed a lot lower.
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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