Look, I know the market wants rate cuts.
And I get it — cuts make borrowing cheaper, stocks go up and everyone feels better… for a while.
But here’s the thing…
I don’t want to see the Fed throw away its last tools just to juice a rally heading into an election year.
During our latest “Opening Playbook” session, I brought this up when I noticed that Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s term is set to expire in about 11 months. That means there’s still time for him to hold the line on rates — and honestly, I think that’s the smart move.
Why?
Because once you cut, you can’t go back.
And if we get into real trouble — a credit event, a geopolitical shock or even just a hard slowdown — we need those tools. Higher rates today might be uncomfortable, but they give us room to do something if things go sideways.
If the Fed cuts now just to appease the market and the president, it’s basically tossing the parachute out of the plane before we hit turbulence.
Now, I’m not saying the economy is perfect.
But unemployment is still very low, consumer spending hasn’t cratered, and inflation is slowly cooling. That’s not exactly an emergency, so why act like it is?
In fact, the best move for long-term stability might be no move at all — at least for now.
I’d rather see Powell keep rates steady as long as possible without tipping the economy into recession. If we can hold this high ground a little longer, it gives the Fed more options down the line — and in a world full of uncertainty, options matter.
So while so many are chanting “cut rates, rate cuts!” I’m quietly rooting for patience.
Because in this market, boring can still be brilliant.
Apex Indicator: NVDA
The markets are right at all-time highs, but as we’ve discussed, there’s a big chance we’ll see some churn at this make-or-break level.
That’s why using my Apex Indicator can provide clarity. If we’re at all-time highs and getting the green light with one of the most powerful indicators out there, we can get some clarity.
So, what stock is looking good on Apex this week?
An old market favorite: Nvidia (NVDA). Here’s the chart:
We had a blue arrow a few weeks ago, and now we’re seeing a nice green weekly bar with another blue arrow. Tech is back in favor and the NVDA signal confirms it. A target for NVDA would be up around the $170.52 level.
Our stop would be down at the $127.12 level.
Remember, we enter these trades using wrap orders, and for more training on how to place wraps… go here!
That’s all for today. I hope everyone has a great weekend — be sure to join me and Nate at 10 a.m. ET weekdays for “Opening Playbook”!
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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