Just when you thought things couldn’t get any more chaotic…
Stock markets took a dive Tuesday after China clapped back — announcing an 84% tariff on U.S. goods. That’s in response to President Trump’s massive 104% “reciprocal” tariffs that went live this week.
On top of the falling markets, the 10-year yield is pushing up toward 4.5%, adding even more pressure to stocks.
It’s yet another twist in what’s quickly becoming a full-blown global trade war. First it was Vietnam, Japan and India hit with tariffs… And now China is officially escalating. The White House says Beijing’s move is “a mistake” — but Wall Street isn’t waiting around to see how it plays out.
The markets aren’t taking hard today (yet), they’re positive heading into lunchtime. But as we’ve seen this week, there’s still more possible turbulence ahead and things can change with each new headline.
We have Thursday’s Consumer Price Index report on deck — which will show where inflation was headed before this latest tariff madness. If inflation is getting more in check, it could raise hopes for a rate cut sooner than later.
We shall see…
Dollar General (DG) Still in Bullish Mode
While most of the market has been a mess this year, Dollar General (DG) has quietly outperformed.
In a high-volatility environment, value-focused names like DG have been a safe haven for capital. The stock is up solidly in 2025, while the S&P 500 (SPY) has been stuck in correction territory.
Investors are leaning into names with strong cash flow, recession-proof business models, and consistent execution — and DG checks all three boxes. It’s not flashy, but that’s kind of the point.
At the same time, our Newton Indicator is in bullish mode. It’s been green and has stayed that way, even during this massive pullback.
This indicates it has excellent positive momentum and could be ready to make another move up.
American Water Works (AWK) Looking Bearish
On the flip side, American Water Works (AWK) has been an underperformer lately.
Normally, you’d expect a utility name like this to hold up better during chaos, but weak investor sentiment has dragged it down. It’s a reminder that “safe” stocks aren’t always immune when the pressure’s on.
And the Newton Indicator shows that momentum has gone from yellow to red. It looks like it’s building negative momentum.
Bottom line? This isn’t your average market dip. It’s high-volatility, macro-driven mayhem — and it’s forcing traders to rethink everything from risk to timing.
Stay nimble out there.
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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