🚨 I’ll be live at 10 a.m. ET with Nate Tucci🚨
We’ll do a training session on my undefeated gold trade that we’ll enter on Friday during the show, the difference between debit and credit spreads and more [tap to join us for Opening Playbook]!
I’ll just come right out and say it upfront — I moved my entire 401(k) into gold miners. Specifically, GDX, the ETF that gives you a basket of gold mining stocks.
This of course wasn’t impulsive. It came from years of watching how gold behaves during long‑term macro cycles. When I bought gold aggressively back in 2022, it was because we were entering what I believed to be a historical supercycle…
A rare multiyear expansion driven by structural forces like currency debasement, fiscal excess and declining real yields.
These cycles don’t show up often, but when they do, they tend to redefine asset pricing for years. That’s the backdrop for everything I’m doing now.
Nothing is guaranteed. I could be totally wrong. But understanding how these supercycles unfold is exactly why this setup has my full attention.
The Math Behind the Move
Here’s how the numbers shake out. Based on long‑term pattern analysis, gold should reasonably push toward $5,800 by the end of this year — and if not by then, the trajectory still points firmly at 2027.
To pressure‑test that, I had my research team run independent cycle models. Their projection came in even higher at $6,400.
The model wasn’t complex for its own sake. It reviewed prior multi‑decade cycles, volatility structures, miner‑to‑metal ratios and macro correlations like real rate compression. When all the data aligned, the conclusions were remarkably consistent.
That’s what gave me confidence to focus on miners rather than buy more gold.
The miners historically perform best in the final stretch of a gold cycle. Margins expand, production efficiency improves and the market finally prices in the trailing metal move.
It’s the part of the cycle where operational leverage becomes a powerful tailwind. Yet even with those forces in play, miners today are still trading at a noticeable discount.
The Catch-Up Trade Nobody’s Talking About
That brings us to one of the most interesting dislocations in the market. Right now stocks like Newmont (NEM) are being priced as if gold were sitting around $4,000 an ounce, even though gold has been holding well above $5,000.
The market hasn’t fully recalibrated because traders are still anchored to the idea that recent upside volatility means gold could slide back toward earlier levels.
But the longer gold stabilizes above $5,000, the harder it is for the market to justify keeping miners this underpriced. When that repricing hits, the catch‑up can be fast and aggressive. That’s why I believe miners like GDX, the ETF, and stocks like Alamos Gold (AGI) and Iamgold (IAG) could see 30-40% upside while gold itself posts more modest gains.
So far the strategy has worked well. We’re 17‑0 on our Friday gold trades with $8,500 in booked profits across roughly five months — be sure to tune into Opening Playbook at 10 a.m. ET Fridays (and each day for that matter) for my next gold income play!
I’m not saying you should do what I did and put all your eggs in the GDX basket. I have a long way to go till retirement. But I am saying this remains the cleanest win‑win setup I see right now — and it’s why I’m positioned exactly this way.
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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