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There’s something happening in the Permian Basin that isn’t getting enough attention.
Oil thieves are draining 500 barrels a day from producers in West Texas, and that’s not just a random crime story. This is organized, large-scale theft happening in a region that produces 15% of the world’s energy. I’ve spent time in the oil and gas business, so I understand how this industry works. Theft has always been part of the landscape — if it’s not secured, it disappears.
But what’s happening now is different. Thieves aren’t just taking equipment — they’re stripping sites and hauling away everything they can. With the Permian Basin’s massive footprint — where infrastructure stretches endlessly and oversight is limited — the scale of opportunity is enormous.
Why This Is So Hard to Stop
The geography alone makes enforcement extremely difficult. You’ve got thousands of wells spread across West Texas, and the isolation gives thieves room to operate without drawing attention. Industry estimates suggest losses of $2 billion to $3 billion per year. That’s not minor leakage — that’s significant supply disappearing from the system.
This also impacts crude pricing: When that much production is siphoned off, it tightens supply and adds upward pressure. It may not show up in headlines, but it shows up in the numbers.
What It Means for the Energy Market
The Permian Basin accounts for 15% of global energy production, so losses of this scale don’t stay local. When a region that important is losing billions in output, the effects ripple through crude prices, producer margins, and eventually what consumers pay.
The conditions driving this issue — high prices, difficult terrain, and vast infrastructure — aren’t going away anytime soon. Until enforcement improves or incentives change, producers are dealing with a growing problem that’s largely under the radar.
If you’re trading energy or watching crude markets, this is the kind of hidden dynamic that deserves attention. It may not make front-page news, but it’s shaping what happens behind the scenes.
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Geof Smith
Geof Smith Trading
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Disclaimer: We develop strategies to the best of our ability, but we cannot guarantee a future return. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. According to a backtest of 64 years of data, this strategy identified winning trades 81.9% of the time on over 7,300 trades in the dataset.



