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It’s easy to look at one ugly close and decide everything’s changed.
You check your P&L, see red and start asking yourself if you should bail. I get it. That’s a normal human response. But that doesn’t make it the right trading response.
Here’s what I remind myself when the tape gets choppy: One day doesn’t make a market.
Recently, I was looking at a position sitting up around 9% to 10%. Solid gain, nothing crazy, but the kind of trade that’s working. Then the market got wobbly and the question came up — should I get out?
My answer was simple: I wouldn’t get out of it.
Not because I’m stubborn or ignoring risk, but because nothing in the fundamental thesis for that trade had changed. The daily price action?
That’s just noise until it proves otherwise. A few rough candles can feel significant in the moment, but they don’t automatically signal that the underlying setup has deteriorated.
The Real Enemy Is Reacting to Uncertainty
What makes this market tricky isn’t just volatility — it’s the constant flood of stories, headlines and spin. Every new narrative creates pressure to react, even when the price structure and fundamental thesis remain intact.
You’ve got to ask yourself: How many of these stories are actually real? I don’t think we know exactly what’s going on half the time.
The headlines shift, the narratives flip and traders get whipsawed trying to chase every new angle.
That’s why I lean on my levels and my plan. If a position is working and the setup still makes sense, a bad day or two doesn’t change the trade. It just tests your discipline.
Don’t Let One Session Talk You Out of a Good Trade
The market will try to shake you out. That’s its job. Your job is to separate daily volatility from actual deterioration in your trade thesis.
If the structure breaks, fine — I’ll respect that and adjust. But if it’s just a rough session inside an intact trend, I’m not letting fear make my decisions for me.
Keep your size manageable, know the levels that would invalidate your setup and stick to your plan. Don’t let one red candle rewrite your whole strategy.
Geof Smith
Geof Smith Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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Disclaimer: The trades expressed are based on signals from Oracle in real time. While we have been using this tool with great success in our own trading including an 85.57% win rate, a 28% average return of winners and losers over a 4-day average hold time, and a profit factor of 5.94 on real money trades between 5/7/26 and 7/17/26, there’s bound to be winners and losers along the way. Since Oracle is a tool for traders and not a trading service, profits and performance will vary among users. Trade at your own risk. See our Terms on the homepage for more information.
