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 End of the month and quarter this week and we have critical inflation data, why October could be a major volatility storm — which I’m hoping for — midterm elections are 40 days away, bond yields are still elevated and more [tap to join us for the Daily Profit Plan]!
I’m about to share something that might sound counterintuitive, but stick with me here…
I’m actually hoping this market pulls back.
Before you think I’ve lost my mind, let me explain why higher volatility heading into the midterms could be exactly what we need. It’s not about being bearish for the sake of it…
It’s about creating the conditions that allow our strategies to work at their best.
We have a massive stack of pending Waterfall Income orders sitting below current market levels. These aren’t random trades — they’re carefully positioned income opportunities waiting for the market to come to us.
If the VIX climbs into the 20-to-30 range as we approach the midterms, we could see enough volatility expansion and retracement to trigger several of those orders.
That could create more premium collection opportunities at attractive levels we’ve already identified as high-probability setups. The VIX range is a benchmark, not a guaranteed trigger. Order fills also depend on the underlying market reaching our selected levels, option pricing and available liquidity.
Why Volatility Works in Our Favor
I understand the political pressures working against a pullback. Bond yields are climbing, oil prices are catching a bid and the ongoing Middle East conflict adds another layer of uncertainty. But that’s exactly my point — we’d be foolish to think this market can’t pull back.
Here’s why we don’t need to predict the market’s exact path…
Our edge doesn’t depend on calling the precise top, bottom or direction of every move. When volatility rises, expected ranges can widen and option premiums may become more attractive.
That gives us broader opportunities to structure trades around probabilities, predefined price levels and income objectives rather than one narrow forecast.
The market also doesn’t have to fall in a straight line. A pullback can include sharp drops, rebounds and sideways consolidation. Those changing conditions may activate different parts of our playbook while allowing us to remain selective instead of chasing price.
Beyond Waterfall Income, we’re positioned to sell premium across multiple strategies — grinding through weeks and months in Engineered Options while capturing daily moves in Flashpoint and Daily Profit Plays. Each approach can benefit from expanded volatility in its own way.
Looking Forward
What could change the setup? A new batch of earnings is arriving over the next couple of weeks. Earnings can quickly reshape volatility, price expectations and the risk-reward profile of individual trades.
How might we approach this quarter differently? I’m considering more two-way earnings trades instead of relying primarily on calendar spreads. If companies make outsized moves — whether their results are rewarded or punished — those structures could help us pursue opportunities in either direction heading into Q4.
What am I watching now? Volatility expansion, reactions around our pending order levels and whether earnings generate moves large enough to justify a two-way approach.
While others might hope for this market to grind endlessly higher, I’m taking a different view. Give me that pullback. Give me that VIX expansion. Let those pending orders fill at levels we’ve already identified as attractive.
That’s how we seek to turn market uncertainty into income — by positioning ourselves ahead of time and letting the market come to us.
I’ll see you in the markets.
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver TradingÂ
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.Â
