🚨 I’ll be live at 9 a.m. ET🚨
The market slide continued into the weekend, so we’ll discuss how to stay opportunistic, how we could end the quarter if there are no bulls left, 5-for-5 on the Daily Profit Play last week, Pinch Point trades hitting targets and more [tap to join us for the Daily Profit Plan]!
I’ve been watching something unfold the past week that represents a fundamental shift in how this market is behaving — and it’s not good news for anyone hoping Trump’s words alone can stop this slide.
The market popped on Monday following his latest announcements, but it faded almost immediately and has been rolling right back to the lows. That kind of reaction tells you everything about whether presidential intervention still carries weight.
The jawboning isn’t moving the needle anymore. Sure, it was enough to generate a quick burst of optimism, but by the end of the same day the momentum was already gone.
This isn’t the same environment as previous crisis moments when a quick pivot or reassuring comment could turn sentiment on a dime. The market is simply not responding to that playbook now.
Technical Pressures Are Mounting
Once you look beneath the surface, the real problem becomes obvious. We’re sitting right around those Oct. 10 and Nov. 20 lows — both important support levels — and we’re doing it below the 200-day moving average.
Being trapped under that line with weakening momentum is a dangerous place to be, and it brings the $541 SPY handle into play as a realistic downside target if we break again.
In the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), the broader structure is still a wide, choppy pattern that’s now threatening to resolve lower. The fact that we’re below such a major long-term trend measure at the same time volatility is expanding — the VIX topped 30 on Friday — adds to the vulnerability.
This is the kind of setup where small swings can turn into big air pockets fast.
The Macro Squeeze: Yields, Credit and Global Risk
What makes this situation more fragile is that it isn’t just technical. The 10-year yields are flying higher with a massive rate of change — up nearly 57 basis points — and moves of that size can’t be brushed aside.
Rising yields tighten financial conditions, drain liquidity and pressure equities all at once. When the bond market is this aggressive, equity rallies get sold immediately because investors are repositioning defensively.
On top of that, corporate credit is flashing its own warning. Weakness there confirms that stress isn’t isolated to equities. When credit starts deteriorating across multiple time frames, it tells you funding conditions are tightening and risk appetite is falling. That’s the kind of backdrop where breakdowns tend to accelerate rather than find easy support.
The global environment isn’t helping either. The geopolitical situation is creating real economic disruption, not just headlines. These effects compound — higher energy prices, supply chain interruptions and uncertainty shocks — and together they push inflation up and confidence down.
This is the butterfly effect in action, and it’s exactly the kind of environment where reassurances from political figures simply don’t outweigh the actual pressures hitting the system.
Put it all together and the message from the market is clear: The old tricks aren’t working. Prices keep popping and fading, the structure is weakening and the indicators that matter most are all moving in the wrong direction. If we don’t see some kind of quarter-end stabilization this week, it will confirm that institutions are stepping back rather than stepping in.
Stay sharp — these levels matter, and the behavior around them will shape the next major move.
I’ll see you in the markets.
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver Trading
Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!
- Telegram:https://t.me/+av20QmeKC5VjOTc5
- YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/@FinancialWars
- Twitter:https://x.com/realchrispulver
- Facebook: https://facebook.com/therealchrispulver
Important Note: No one from the ProsperityPub team or Chris Pulver Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. 1 Trade. 1 Ticker. 1 Time a Week
That’s how my research has shown to leverage a little-known niche in the options market to target income every Monday around noon…
Want the entire breakdown?
Yes, Show Me This One-Ticker Secret!
We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but no one can guarantee the future. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The trades expressed are from an 11-year backtest on 543 trades. The result was a 97.1% win rate, an average return of 17% (winners and losers), and an average hold time of 11 days. Every “Weekly Windfall” targets roughly $1,000 in income based on $5,000 in risk, and every example is based on that same risk unless otherwise stated (Although you can get started with just a couple of hundred bucks). From 9/30/24 – 2/27/26 on 128 live trades, the win rate is 94%, 16% average return (winners and losers) with an average hold time of 12 days.
