Decoding the Strategy Behind 33 Straight Trade Wins and Counting

by | Dec 12, 2024

>>>COMBAT INFLATION WITH ME — LIVE AT 4 PM ET TODAY!<<<

Wednesday was one of those days that traders dream about — directional markets, predictable moves and strategies executing with near perfection. 

I’ve been riding a hot streak lately, and it’s no fluke. 

With an impressive 97.21% win rate in my Waterfall Income strategy — including 33 wins out of 33 closed trades since launch at the end of September — I’d like to unpack how disciplined execution, data-driven decisions, and a focus on probability have contributed to this success.

A Strong Day for SPY and QQQ Trades

Wednesday morning started with a big market rip after the CPI numbers came in line with expectations, and it set the tone for profitable trades in the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), our bread and butter tickers for this strategy.  

The gap higher in SPY gave us an immediate opportunity to lock in gains. With a gap probability of 60% to stay above key levels, the market didn’t even come close to filling it — providing a textbook directional move to capitalize on.

On the QQQ side, I had a trade sitting just one penny away from hitting its profit target. While it didn’t close out during the session, I decided to manually take profit because waiting for that last penny didn’t make sense given the strong directional momentum. 

These decisions — based on both technical signals and experience — are key to maintaining high accuracy, and we send exit alerts to let you know when to move.

Risk Management and High-Probability Setups

Success in trading isn’t just about chasing wins… 

It’s about understanding the probabilities behind every setup. I had a few trades that needed more time and direction to reach their full potential on Wednesday. 

For instance, an SPY call I bought for 35 cents could turn into an 85-cent gain if the market pushes toward $610. That’s more than a 100% return, easily offsetting small losses on other positions.

But let’s be clear — even though we’re perfect on official trades so far, no strategy wins every time. There is ALWAYS risk in trading. 

The key is ensuring that the winners far outweigh the losers, both in frequency and magnitude, which we have done so far with flying colors. With a disciplined approach, even minor losses become inconsequential in the broader context of trading performance.

As the market continues to grind higher, the focus remains the same: Stick to the game plan, manage risk, and let high-probability trades do their thing. 

Whether it’s SPY, QQQ or other opportunities, staying consistent and disciplined has been — and will continue to be — the foundation of my success.

If you’d like to see more about Waterfall Income and even get in on the next trades, I’ll be live again at 4 p.m. ET today, Dec. 12!

I’ll see you in the markets. 

Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver Trading

Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!

*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 

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