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I’ve been watching Tesla (TSLA) forever, and I’ve got this theory that’s a bit out there — but stick with me because the chart pattern actually supports something wild.
What if CEO Elon Musk is trying to suppress the price of TSLA so SpaceX can buy it out? Think about it. Boost up the value of SpaceX, and maybe SpaceX doesn’t go public. Maybe TSLA just gets private equity bought out and rolled into SpaceX.
And here’s where it gets even more interesting. Musk has been openly frustrated with TSLA’s corporate bylaw structure. He sees it as restrictive and limiting, especially for the kind of rapid, high‑conviction moves he likes to make…
A structure like that doesn’t mesh well with his operating style. Rolling Tesla into SpaceX under a different governance setup would eliminate those constraints instantly.
The Setup: Valuation Match and Corporate Frustration
TSLA’s value right now sits at roughly $1.5 trillion, and that’s about the same valuation as SpaceX. That’s not a coincidence in my book — it’s a potential setup.
If the price shot up to around $600 a share but then took a bath and went down below $200, you’d be looking at $750 billion or maybe even down near $150 billion.
At that point, SpaceX equity could easily roll into some sort of leverage buyout of TSLA shares, especially as SpaceX’s value climbs.
Add in Elon’s dislike of Tesla’s corporate structure and the picture gets clearer. A private equity move wouldn’t just make financial sense — it would finally give him the flexibility he wants.
The Timing: Options Burn and Chart Behavior
Right now the shorts are piling on, and people are buying millions of dollars worth of puts. The put side is heavily skewed, but almost all of that expires soon. That kind of setup often creates more opportunity than danger because once that expiration clears, the pressure can flip fast.
So from a chart perspective, this supports a bullish move unless we break down. It could just screw all the put buyers and pop.
TSLA may just stall and burn off these options through the end of the month, then start moving. These things love to screw the most number of people before they make their real move. It would be kind of funny if all this burns off through the end of the month and then we go ripping off to $600.
The time frame for a buyout wouldn’t have to follow any logical pattern either. This could pop, shoot up, and then do an epic pullback — and that pullback could be the point where SpaceX steps in. We have a bullish setup now, but maybe later in the year things go sour and we return back down, presenting an opportunity for SpaceX to acquire TSLA.
Is this speculation? Absolutely. But it’s speculation backed by chart behavior, valuation math and real‑world incentives. And in my experience, the wildest theories sometimes have a way of playing out.
Keep your eyes on TSLA. This could get very interesting.
Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading
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I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader.
I’ve been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it’s the Eagle Scout in me.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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