The Rational Trader: Kroger Earnings and the Cash Machine
JD targets Kroger ahead of earnings with a call debit spread — buying the $66 call, selling the $68 call for $1.00, doubling if the stock moves just 1.6% higher.
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Tag: playing the odds or probabilities
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All Posts - Casey Stubbs - Chris Pulver - David Trainer - Graham Lindman - Geof Smith - Nate Tucci - Jeffry Turnmire - ProsperityPub
One Number That Can Improve Your Options Trades
Delta is the simplest Greek — and one of the most powerful tools to choose strikes, manage risk, and boost your trading edge.
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The Rational Trader: What I Learned From a Losing Trade on Delta Airlines
JD breaks down a losing trade in Delta Airlines and explains what went wrong — and why sticking to defined-risk setups matters in earnings season.
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The Rational Trader: DAL Earnings Mean Reversion Trade: My Full Setup
JD previews a potential mean reversion trade in Delta Airlines (DAL) ahead of Thursday’s earnings. He’s watching volatility and preparing to sell the extremes — with protection.
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The Rational Trader: DAL Is Hugging Its Mean — And I’m Planning My Next Move
JD previews a potential mean reversion trade in Delta Airlines (DAL) ahead of Thursday’s earnings. He’s watching volatility and preparing to sell the extremes — with protection.
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The Rational Trader: STZ Didn’t Move — And That’s EXACTLY How I Got Paid
JD recaps the STZ earnings trade — and how both the puts and calls he flagged expired worthless. A textbook mean reversion play with a 95% historical edge.
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The Rational Trader: Why I’d Risk $445 to Make $55 — And Still Call It a Good Trade
JD breaks down a simple expected value setup — and a real earnings trade in STZ — that most traders would skip, but statistically? It pays.
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The Real Reason Good Trades Are So Hard to Find
Too many choices, not enough structure — this is the silent killer of most traders’ success, Nate Tucci says.
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The Rational Trader: No Data, No Edge… Why I Took a Hit Today — and Why That’s OK
JD explains why the economic calendar is key, how he managed risk on a tough trading day, and what traders can learn from thinking like a poker player.
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