March 29, 2023

You Asked For It

To do this, the Fed created hypothetical scenarios that simulate adverse economic conditions, such as high unemployment, falling home prices, and a sharp decline in GDP. The scenarios also incorporate factors such as changes in interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.
March 29, 2023

Make That Two

Hedge fund net exposure to equities (which means subtracting short exposure from long exposure) is as low as it’s been in three years.
March 28, 2023

Bank Talk

Back in 2008, banks were ignoring the houses foreclosing in their own neighborhoods while taking free money in the form of highly-leveraged derivatives based on false mortgage grades from suspect rating companies. This time it's different.
March 27, 2023

Your Monday AAPL Update

The definition of a technical uptrend involves higher highs and higher lows. We’re now seeing that with AAPL’s stock. So, since the bottom in January, we’re officially in an uptrend. 
March 27, 2023

Battle Lines Finely Balanced Between Buyers and Sellers

The S&P is clinging on for all its worth around the range within which it has been trapped the last several months.
March 24, 2023

The Back Door to Centralized Banking

Depositor flight to higher-yielding alternatives will continue. And since the bonds bank’s own will be permanently worth less than the deposits they received to buy them, the only way to prevent the inevitable panic is to guarantee all deposits.
March 24, 2023

When I Say Capitalist

When I say capitalism, I mean free markets. I mean unfettered choice and competition that […]
March 24, 2023

When I Say Commie

When I say commie, I mean all forms of forced collectivism. I mean communists, Marxists, […]
March 22, 2023

The Most Critical Fed Meeting So Far

The one word I'm not hearing anyone use to describe the banking crisis is "accounting."
March 22, 2023

Semiconductors Looking Strong

The price moved up through the neck line (light blue line), setting up a price target above the neck line equal to the distance of the move from the head to the neck. 
February 20, 2023

The Road Always Taken – Don’s Daily Brief

Counting all U.S. Treasury’s bonds, notes and bills outstanding, the U.S. Government has $31 trillion in debt. But that’s only a sliver of the promises the government must keep or break.
February 16, 2023

Small Surprise from PPI… A Bigger One from Retail Sales – Don’s Daily Brief

I cover the market’s reaction to PPI (underwhelming), retail sales numbers… and the performance of our recent Daily Picks.
February 16, 2023
2 stocks coming back with a vengeance

Surprise! Here Come PLTR and BITO

Two "forgotten" stocks we've discussed in the past couple of weeks are climbing fast: PLTR and BITO.
February 14, 2023
Mixed CPI results

A Little Something for Everyone in Today’s CPI Print – Don’s Daily Brief

CPI results are giving mixed signals. But with both stocks and bonds down sharply (at least for the moment) the ball’s in the bears’ court.
February 14, 2023

CPI Numbers Are In: Here’s What’s Happening With the Market – Jeffry’s Morning Monster

CPI numbers are in, what effect is it having on the market? Plus, find out […]
February 13, 2023

What the Shiller PE Chart is Telling Me About This Market – Don’s Daily Brief

The markets aren’t really giving us much to go on here. We’ve got C.P.I. tomorrow, […]
February 9, 2023

2 Clear Signs This Market is Unhealthy – Don’s Daily Brief

Next week: CPI is coming out again. We’ve got around 5.6% as the estimate on […]
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