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Commodities & Copper: Why ERO Showed Up
and How to Spot Similar Moves
After a three-session whipsaw — Friday’s selloff, Monday’s bounce, and more volatility Tuesday — traders don’t need a crystal ball. They need a simple way to read where money is actually flowing. Yesterday’s Profit Panel gave a clean example in copper.
Alex Reid highlighted ERO (Ero Copper Corp) as a winner from the session. In the same segment, Geof Smith confirmed his stance, saying he’s long ERO.
The point wasn’t to shout “buy now,” but to show how a commodity-linked name bubbled up when the index was noisy — and how our pros identify those names before and as they move.
Here’s the beginner-friendly framework anyone can use:
Start with the macro nudge. When headlines hit supply (e.g., rare-earths, energy inputs, metals), look at related commodities and their U.S. supply chain links. That’s why copper and rare-earths ended up on the radar.
Scan for relative strength. If a group stays green while the index is red — or snaps back first on the bounce — that’s a signal. Copper’s strength helped surface ERO when the market was red.
Check the options chain basics before acting.
- Bid/Ask: Favor tight spreads. Wide spreads can eat gains in volatile market.
- Open Interest (OI) vs. Volume: Don’t mix them up. You want contracts that exist (OI) and are trading today (volume) so your orders actually fill.
- Delta for distance: Many professional traders use ~0.25–0.30 delta to set sensible distance from price when selling premium. Buyers often choose higher deltas (e.g., ~0.60–0.70) for more stock-like behavior.
- Beware Implied Volatility (IV): Elevated implied volatility can make spreads more attractive than outright calls/puts, as after events, IV can reset quickly.
If the last few sessions felt chaotic, keep this simple workflow handy. You don’t have to predict the next headline.
You just need to see where strength is concentrating, verify you can enter and exit without fighting the chain, and pick a structure that matches IV and your risk tolerance. That’s how you turn noise into decisions—one commodity case study at a time.
We’re back at it with more repeatable market playbooks:
Click here to watch the whole on-demand replay!
To your prosperity,
The ProsperityPub Team
P.S. Alex Reid’s brand new scanner project has been targeting big wins by hitching a ride in the options market. And now he’s granting you FREE access — but only if you attend the World Premiere event on Sunday, October 19th! Click here to hold your spot now!
🎰 Did You Catch This?!
Triple-digit day, simple rules
Three quick case studies that paid: PINS, UUU, HUN. Process over hype—copy the playbook, not the noise.
Click to see the trade recaps — and the lessons they taught!
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Quick hits from Friday’s show
- Walmart x OpenAI: Rode the headline with a 10-day call and a worked limit fill — example of pairing news with sane duration instead of guessing the next candle.
- ACI “options duel”: Fun experiment — Alex took 10/24, Blake/Geof took 10/31 — we’ll compare which expiry handled the follow-through better.
- LAC sweeps: Repeated buy hits triggered a lithium call entry; urgency mattered, but we still demanded a workable chain and a clean fill.
- MP & PEP status: PEP vertical remained on-plan — no need to micromanage when distance and exits are set.
- IRON call-credit distance: Far OTM = calmer P&L path. Let time decay do the heavy lifting unless price approaches the zone.
- Research teaser: Alex is compiling a short-list from a large-scale U.S. manufacturing investment theme (grid resilience, nuclear, cybersecurity, AI) for subscribers — more to come.
