Smart Money Moves First

by | Apr 4, 2025

They were buying calls like crazy.

Last week, I mentioned an unusual move in a big-name stock, CMG.

The ticker had just taken a hit. It wasn’t acting particularly strong. The chart didn’t scream “breakout.” But then something strange showed up…

Massive call buying.

And not just your run-of-the-mill retail speculation. This was targeted, aggressive positioning that suggested someone knew — or strongly believed — that a move was coming.

So I flagged it.

And sure enough, this week… the stock exploded.

Now, the point of this isn’t to pat myself on the back. The point is: this kind of setup happens more often than you think.

Big players — hedge funds, institutions, smart money — they don’t usually wait for confirmation. They move early. Quietly. And sometimes, if you know what to look for, they leave behind footprints.

In this case, it was a stock trading weakly while big call buying rolled in. That mismatch — weak price action vs. bullish options flow — tipped the hand.

This is one of the key things I look for in what I call “environmental context.”

  • What’s the stock doing?

  • What’s the flow doing?

  • What’s the market structure telling us?

  • And how does all of that line up with sentiment?

Because, like I said on Mapping the Market, the market right now isn’t necessarily strong… but it’s tradable.

We’re seeing this slow S&P drift while individual names still offer plenty of opportunity — if you know where to look.

So next time you see unusual call flow on a weak chart… don’t ignore it. It might just be smart money getting ahead of the next move.

I just covered this and more in my free bi-weekly Mapping the Market session:

Watch the full episode here!

And don’t forget to register here to be notified every time I’m going live.

See you in the markets,
— Nate Tucci

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