Are We Entering Crypto Winter or Setting Up for the Next Rip?

by | Nov 20, 2025

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Our favorite digital roller coaster just wiped out the entirety of 2025 gains.

Bitcoin soared to over $126,000 just six weeks ago, and as of this morning, it’s now sitting below $92,000. By mainstream financial media metrics, we’re technically in a bear market. Bitcoin itself lost another half a trillion dollars in value — the financial equivalent of repeating high school.

So why did everybody start selling? Classic panic mode. When the market gets spooked, investors dump the risky assets first, and Bitcoin is the riskiest of them all. People are locking in profits from the good times, and liquidity across the whole crypto market is looking a little thin.

But here’s where it gets interesting. The last time Bitcoin took a dive like this, it ripped to all-time highs. The question is whether you’re buying a coat for the winter or a ticket to the moon.

The Critical Technical Levels That Matter Right Now

When Bitcoin came off the high back in October, it set up a five-down three-wave retrace, and I warned we were about to see a bigger flush out. That’s exactly what we got — right down to my ideal support zone.

Here’s the big question: Can we hold on to this level?

If we can hold and start doing bullish things, we can go back and make the all-time high — potentially hitting $150,000 to $170,000. Nothing’s been broken yet technically. It’s still possible.

But if we break below this support zone, it’s likely we’re in for crypto winter — a 12 to 15-month relentless correction that usually pulls down 70% to 80% from the all-time high. That probably means finding a bottom sometime around July to October 2026, targeting around $30,000 to $40,000.

If we get below this target zone, it tips the odds significantly that we’re headed into that scenario. That’s the warning.

Where the Smart Money Looks for Opportunity

CNN’s Fear and Greed Index is screaming extreme fear right now. And as Warren Buffett likes to remind us, the time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets. When extreme fear is out there and you don’t feel like buying, that’s often the time to look for deals.

My personal belief? Crypto needs one more flush before we can go higher — maybe a spike down in Bitcoin that scares people to death, followed by a spike and recovery. Ethereum needs a little bit lower, and Solana needs a little bit lower — these are our biggest coins setting up for what comes next.

The price action hasn’t told me exactly what’s coming next yet. But I’m watching those support levels like a hawk. Whether we’re buying the dip or bracing for winter, the next few weeks will tell us everything we need to know.

Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading

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