Seasonal Patterns Are About to Flip Bullish, and Timing Is Everything

by | Jul 15, 2026

🚨I’ll be live at 2 p.m. ET today🚨

That’s when I’ll reveal TWO mispriced options setups — one bullish and one bearish — each targeting triple-digit upside no matter which way the market breaks [tap to join us]

 

Every now and then I look at patterns that don’t get much attention but probably should. And right now, two seasonal setups are hitting inflection points at the same time. That overlap is not random, and it’s worth paying attention to.

I’m talking about midterm year GOP seasonality and new Fed chairman seasonality. Both have been choppy for months, but both are now turning the corner toward a far more constructive backdrop.

To help visualize this shift, here’s a historical chart of midterm year seasonality that highlights the red line pattern I track most closely. It shows how the market typically behaves during this political cycle and where the current turn aligns with past bullish inflections.

Let’s walk through why this matters — and why the next 12 months may look very different from the first half of the year.

Midterm Year Seasonality Is Turning Positive

When you look at the midterm year seasonals for the GOP, the timing stands out immediately. We’re sitting right at the point where it flips positive. There’s still a little rockiness ahead, but the market historically moves sharply higher from right about now into the year‑end.

This marks the first genuine bullish push in this seasonal cycle. The first half was defined by chop and uncertainty, but the back half typically heats up. The shift is not subtle — it’s structural — and it sets the stage for stronger momentum as long as key levels continue to hold.

New Fed Chair Seasonality Is Sending the Same Message

The pattern tied to new Fed leadership tells a similar story. We’re roughly two months into the new Fed chair cycle, which is usually the choppier phase. That unevenness is not abnormal.

What matters is what comes next.

Looking ahead, this pattern turns decisively more bullish, with an average positive move of 6-7% over the following 12 months. It’s a meaningful tailwind that aligns remarkably well with the midterm setup.

That said, leaning bullish here doesn’t mean abandoning caution. Upcoming earnings, geopolitical shifts and policy headlines can all act as short-term catalysts.

If those come in constructive, it will help validate the seasonal turn. If not, we may need to let the market reset before the larger trend unfolds.

The difficult stretch is ending. The favorable stretch is beginning. Staying disciplined through the transition is what will matter most.

Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading

Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!

Important Note: No one from the ProsperityPub team or Graham Lindman Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram.

*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 

P.S. [LIVE AT 2 PM ET] My Dual Triple-Digit Trade Setups 

The S&P 500 is sitting right on a razor’s edge…

Everyone’s trying to guess if we’re about to break out to brand-new all-time highs, or if the market is going to reverse in a big way.

But guessing is a sucker’s game…

You don’t need to pick a side to walk away with a major win.

Right now, a historic wave of cash is flooding the market.

Bloomberg recently reported that S&P 500 options volume is at an unprecedented 5.5 million contracts a day, which has tripled since 2022.

This massive flood of retail money is actually breaking Wall Street’s pricing systems.

The market makers simply cannot keep up with the volume, and they’re pricing options completely wrong.

This structural glitch is creating some of the absolute best high-risk, high-reward setups I’ve seen all year.

That’s why I spent months building a proprietary tool that finds where these options are severely undervalued before a big move happens.

We don’t need to care which way the market breaks today… We just need to be positioned for both.

That’s why I’m going LIVE at 2 p.m. ET today with a special guest to show you exactly how to trade this pivot.

We of course cannot make promises or guarantees in the market…

During the session, I’m revealing one bullish opportunity targeting 200%+ if the market breaks to new highs.

At the same time, I’ll hand you one bearish opportunity targeting 200%+ if the market reverses lower.

I’m also going to show you exactly how this tool identifies these mispriced options so you can see the math for yourself.

The broadcast is open to all but we have a hard limit on seats so don’t be late.

See You at 2 PM ET!

What to read next