Forget Being Right — Here’s How Real Traders Stack Profits

by | Jul 9, 2025

>>>A pricing quirk makes it possible to target 100-plus percent returns on dirt-cheap options!<<<

We recently ran a comparison just for fun to see what would happen: 100 trades, each risking $1,000.

Same setup. Same conditions. Three very different outcomes.

  • Trader 1 had the flashy stats — a 95% win rate and a 4.95 profit factor
  • Trader 2? Not so pretty. Just a 45% win rate and a 1.5 profit factor
  • Trader 3 sat in the middle with a 66% win rate and a 2.08 profit factor

So who came out on top as far as cash in the bank?

Trader 1 made $4,950.

Trader 2 banked $20,000.

Trader 3?

He walked away with $32,000.

Same number of trades. Same risk per trade. Yet Trader 3 crushed them both, and the person with the best win rate and profit factor made the least.

Why?

Average return per trade.

Trader 3’s average return was 32% — winners and losers combined.

And that’s the number that really matters. Not how often you win. Not some fancy stat like profit factor.

A 32% average return per trade will beat a 95% win rate all day long. Because when you’re consistently making 90%+ on your winners, the occasional loss doesn’t hurt. You’re stacking real gains, not just “safe” trades that look good on a chart.

Here’s the lesson: Most retail traders are obsessed with being right. They hesitate when things get messy. They play defense.

But if you want to build a real trading edge — the kind that can actually grow an account — you need to flip the script.

Target trades with big return potential.

Control your risk.

And stop trying to win every time.

Trader 3 didn’t win more often. They just won bigger when he did.

And that’s something anyone can learn to do — including you.

We’ll keep covering the strongest plays, strategies and trading lessons at 10 a.m. each weekday morning on “Opening Playbook.

Airbnb (ABNB) In Bullish Mode

Airbnb (ABNB) has been on a bullish streak through much of 2025 — and it’s not hard to see why.

The company has posted solid numbers, with year-over-year revenue growth ranging from 6% to 12%. This strong performance in recent quarters has been accompanied with ambitious plans from CEO Brian Chesky, who’s steering Airbnb toward becoming a full-service travel ecosystem — think Amazon, but for lodging, experiences and more.

That vision includes a $200–250 million push into new offerings like car rentals, premium listings and curated experiences. Add in a cash-rich balance sheet and strong free cash flow, and it’s clear why sentiment around ABNB has turned so positive.

The next chapter is still unfolding, but for now, Airbnb is riding a strong wave of momentum.

And now we also see green on our Newton Indicator. ABNB could be ready for a comeback.

McCormick & Company (MKC) Looking Bearish

McCormick (MKC) has had a tough run this year — and it all started with a cautious tone from management back in January. They flagged weaker-than-expected demand, especially in international markets like China, along with rising marketing costs that would likely weigh on full-year results.

That warning set the stage for what’s been a bumpy stretch.

Despite steady revenue growth, the company has struggled to protect its profit margins. In Q1, earnings per share came in at just $0.60 — about 6% below expectations — which didn’t sit well with investors.

Add in a string of analyst downgrades and insider selling from top execs, and it’s easy to see why the stock has stayed on the back foot.

At the same time, our Newton Indicator has turned red after sliding into yellow. This move to red could mean more bearishness for MKC.

Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading

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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 

P.S. A Pricing Quirk Makes It Possible to Target 100%+ Returns on Dirt-Cheap Options

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