Bitcoin (BTC) has been full of surprises this year — and the latest might be the most important one yet.
When stocks were sliding, Bitcoin held firm. Even with market volatility rising and economic data flashing mixed signals, BTC barely flinched. In fact, it’s quietly been one of the best-performing assets recently.
That kind of resilience isn’t just interesting — it could be the foundation of a much bigger move.
So what would it take for Bitcoin to break out toward $150k?
First, continued strength in risk assets would help. If we see renewed bullishness in the Technology (XLK) and Communication Services (XLC) sectors, it could give Bitcoin the same momentum tailwind it enjoyed during past rallies.
Second, a soft Fed would be a major catalyst. If interest rates hold steady or even get cut, risk-on trades like BTC tend to benefit. Add in growing interest from institutional investors and ETFs like IBIT pulling in capital, and the runway starts to look longer.
Finally, as we’ve talked about before, there’s the AI energy arms race — a surprising but important piece of the puzzle. AI is driving a surge in global energy demand. Countries looking to gain an edge are investing in infrastructure and innovation — and many are diversifying away from traditional currencies to hedge inflation and geopolitical risk.
Bitcoin fits that bill.
It’s not guaranteed, of course. But when you combine BTC’s technical strength with supportive macro trends and rising adoption, the idea of a $150k print doesn’t feel so far-fetched.
Bottom line? Bitcoin’s strength in this market isn’t just a fluke — it might be the start of something bigger.
Allstate (ALL) In Bullish Mode
Here’s a surprising name that’s been quietly crushing the broader market in 2025: Allstate (ALL).
While most eyes have been on tech and energy, this insurance giant has been steadily climbing — and for good reason. With rising premiums, improved underwriting margins, and a sharp rebound in auto policy profitability, ALL has managed to grow earnings even in a shaky economy.
Plus, in a year where market volatility and geopolitical risk have dominated headlines, investors have been looking for stability. That’s exactly what companies like Allstate offer. Reliable cash flow, defensive positioning and a history of weathering economic storms — it’s no wonder ALL has outpaced the S&P 500 so far this year.
At the same time, our Newton Indicator is in bullish mode. As the stock has started to move up, it’s gone from red to yellow to green.
This indicates it has excellent momentum and could be ready to make a nice move higher.
Moderna (MRNA) Looking Bearish
On the flip side, Moderna (MRNA) is looking like it’s going to continue its plunge.
This stock has had a rough run in 2025 — and it’s mostly about fading COVID momentum and a tough path to replace that revenue. Investors piled into MRNA during the pandemic, but now that vaccine demand is stabilizing and government contracts are shrinking, the stock has struggled to keep up with the broader market’s rebound.
Until Moderna can show strong results from its cancer vaccine trials or other mRNA-based therapies, the stock will continue to suffer.
And the Newton Indicator shows that momentum has gone from green to red. It looks like it’s going to keep falling like a rock…
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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