🚨 I’ll be live at 2:30 p.m. ET with Alex Reid🚨
Markets are gearing up for a busy earnings season with key plays in software, travel, transportation and chemicals [tap to join us for Profit Panel]
Iran flew a drone toward the USS Abraham Lincoln on Tuesday. We shot it down, and just like that — crude oil jumped from below $62.50 to above $63 once the news hit.
That kind of pop might seem minor to stock traders, but in energy, it’s real money moving in real time.
Everything over there’s getting a little shaky, and when the Middle East heats up, the oil market doesn’t sit back and wait for confirmation. It moves instantly.
The Geopolitical Angle No One Should Ignore
What makes this flare-up especially interesting is the political backdrop.
Iran’s testing boundaries at a time when they know the U.S. will respond. Whether they actually want to take on Trump is another story, but if they keep pushing, the market will price in the possibility of something bigger.
Geopolitical risk isn’t theoretical — it’s fuel on the fire.
Traders don’t need a full-scale conflict to make money. All they need is uncertainty, and right now, there’s plenty of that building under the surface.
Speed, Positioning and the Advantage of Being Early
The real lesson here is how fast the reaction is. Crude didn’t drift higher over a few days. It launched within hours of the headline.
Moves tied to geopolitical catalysts don’t wait for anyone, which is why hesitation kills opportunity.
Smart money knows better than to chase the spike after the fact. They’re already holding a little energy exposure, so when the catalyst hits, they’re instantly in the green.
That’s the whole game — being positioned before the headline, not scrambling once it hits your screen.
These moments reward preparation.
You don’t need to go all in on energy, but having a small stake acts like insurance. On days like this, that insurance pays out fast.
If tensions escalate, Tuesday’s move could be just the start. If things calm down, you booked a clean win with controlled risk.
In a world where news breaks and markets react almost simultaneously, the edge goes to the trader who understands the setup before the story hits the wires.
👉 Click here to join Profit Panel at 2:30 p.m. ET on weekdays!
P.S. Don’t Let The Recent Gold Dip Fool You!
I’m the one who nailed the Gold Supercycle call back in 2023…
And now I’m seeing the setup for a third mega catalyst that could make gold’s recent 150% run look like a drop in the bucket.
At 1 p.m. ET on Thursday, I’m going live with Nate and Alex to break down the exact conditions that could ignite the next major leg higher.
I’ll also walk through the trading “glitch” I plan to use to take advantage of this move — the same approach that delivered a perfect win rate last year.
If you want to understand what’s lining up, why it matters and how I’m positioning for it, you’ll want to be there.
Geof Smith
Geof Smith TradingÂ
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.Â
