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Sometimes the best trades come from the most obvious disruptions. When I watched the East Coast get hammered by snow over the weekend, the entire region basically frozen in place, the setup became clear.
That’s why I started looking hard at Uber (UBER) and DoorDash (DASH). When drivers can’t move, they can’t deliver and they can’t make money.
When the platforms can’t facilitate rides or deliveries, the revenue they rely on dries up fast. The earnings impact from a weather event like that isn’t hypothetical — it’s baked into the real-time collapse of activity.
Geographic Revenue Concentration Creates Vulnerability
The Northeast isn’t just another region. It’s the powerhouse of urban demand.
If a storm shuts down Oklahoma, nobody cares. But when the entire East Coast locks up — from New York down to D.C. — you’re hitting the core of where these companies generate their most consistent volume.
That’s why I expect earnings to take a hit — the disruption is simply too large to ignore.
This setup isn’t about overthinking. It’s about recognizing when a company’s strongest geographic segment suddenly goes offline.
The DoorDash Put Play
To take advantage of the setup, I started evaluating specific options plays on DASH. Alex and I just discussed this trade on the Profit Panel on Monday and it’s already doubled in value…
If you got into the March 20 expiration, the $130 puts were trading around $0.65 to $0.70, which is a reasonable entry for capturing a weather-driven slowdown.
The timing works too. That gives you 25 days to see if the stock wants to drop another $5 or so as data from the shutdown starts to flow in.
It’s enough runway to let sentiment and numbers catch up to reality.
The risk-reward profile doesn’t look bad either. You’re not exposed to heavy theta decay at that duration, and there’s room to potentially pick up 30-40% if the stock reacts the way these names historically do after major regional disruptions.
At the end of the day, I’m simply looking for a clean way to short the Northeast without shorting the region itself. Weather shuts cities down — and when cities shut down, the companies that rely on them feel it fast.
DASH just happens to be one of the cleanest ways to express that view.
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Geof Smith
Geof Smith TradingÂ
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P.S. Why the Price of Silver Could Rise Steeply
The pressure is on Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh to drastically lower interest rates.
Historically, this directly impacts silver prices and I doubt this time would be an exception.
I already have plans in place to play this move while it happens…
Disclaimer: We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but no one can guarantee the future. There is always a risk of loss when trading past performance is not indicative of future results. Since LIVE trading began on 9/18/25, there have been 18 trades, with 15 winners and three still open, continuing the undefeated streak. In LIVE trading, the average return has been 32.05% and the average hold time has been 16 days.Â
