🚨 I’ll be live at 2:30 p.m. ET with Alex Reid🚨
We’ll play 1DTE Roulette and look for the strongest trending stocks this week to see if we can find a cheap play expiring Friday, do some live trading and cover stocks making interesting moves [tap to join us for Profit Panel]
There’s a rule I’ve followed for years, and it has kept me out of more trouble than I can count…
Once you have a strategy that works, you stick with it — you don’t rotate, pivot, or chase what’s hot, and you don’t abandon it when things get bumpy. That commitment to consistency is one of the most underrated advantages in trading.
The market is always going to move, and right now the S&P 500 (SPY) is down about 4% from the year open and roughly 7% from the highs, which is enough to make traders question everything — but that variability is normal and shouldn’t trigger you to reinvent your process.
The Temptation to React
Pullbacks create a powerful impulse to switch strategies, whether it’s moving from premium selling to directional trades or changing time frames in search of comfort.
That’s exactly how traders sabotage performance, because the shift is driven by emotion, not edge.
It gets worse when external noise enters the picture — political pressure, shifting narratives, and constant speculation can make it feel like something fundamental has changed. But none of that alters the core principle: Your edge comes from consistency, not reaction.
I think there’s more bias to the upside than the downside right now, but that doesn’t mean I’m overhauling anything — it just means I’m positioning within the same framework I’ve trusted for years.
Discipline Across All Markets
Consistency isn’t just for one asset class — it applies across equities, Bitcoin, and gold.
Each market behaves differently, but the discipline required to trade them well is the same, and if you change strategies every time volatility picks up, you never build the experience needed to succeed in any of them.
We could see more downside, a sharp bounce, or even a full 10% correction — all of those outcomes are possible. But none of them justify abandoning a framework that already works, because long-term success comes from sticking with what’s proven and managing risk within it.
Traders who last don’t chase what’s shiny or get pulled into market noise. They stay grounded, adjust position size when needed, and manage risk without rewriting their entire playbook.
So before you convince yourself you need a new approach, ask one question: Is my strategy actually broken, or am I just uncomfortable?
👉 Click here to join Profit Panel at 2:30 p.m. ET on weekdays!
Geof Smith
Geof Smith TradingÂ
Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!
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Important Note: No one from the ProsperityPub team or Geof Smith Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. GOLD: My Methodical Approach Just Hit Its 60th Winner
Gold is at a turning point.
With tensions around Iran still in focus, many expected it to push toward new highs by now.
Instead, price action has been choppy… and that leaves traders with a key question:
Is gold gearing up for another run… or starting to lose momentum?
What happens next likely comes down to how this situation unfolds.
If tensions rise, gold could move quickly.
If things cool off, the reaction could catch a lot of traders off guard.
That’s why I put together a focused Gold broadcast.
Inside, I explained:
- Where gold stands right now
- How it typically reacts during geopolitical events
- And whether this sets up a move toward new highs or something else
No guarantees, of course.
But if you want a clearer view of what could come next, you’ll want to take a look.
Disclaimer: We develop strategies to the best of our ability, but we cannot guarantee a future return. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Since 12/05/2024, the trading approach discussed today has published 60 trade alerts. All 60 have returned as winning trades, for a 100% win rate. The average return per trade, winners and losers combined, has been 16.88% on an average holding period of 9 days.
