What 1999 Taught Me About Leverage — Before Tech Went Parabolic

by | Oct 13, 2025

JOIN ME LIVE AT 9 AM ET FOR: TECHNICAL TUESDAYS

This is all about chart work. I’ll break down price levels, key patterns and potential trade setups. It’s where I’ll show how I’m drawing levels and setting entries and exits based on what the market gives us.

 

There’s a concept I’ve been thinking about lately that completely reframes how we should view market corrections — and honestly, it might change how you react the next time we see a sharp pullback like we did Friday.

Most traders treat pullbacks as bearish events, but I see them as something entirely different: a leverage cleanse that actually makes bull markets more sustainable.

Think of it like a one-day fast for the market. You’re not starving — you’re clearing out the excesses that could cause bigger problems down the road.

Here’s what I mean by that…

How Leverage Builds Up and Why It’s Dangerous

When markets keep grinding higher without any meaningful corrections, rational behavior starts giving way to something more reckless. I know most people reading this are disciplined traders, but there’s a whole class of market participants who aren’t.

They start thinking the market won’t go down, so they lever up. Funds chasing performance because they missed a big move in April or earlier in the year start taking oversized leverage bets to catch up.

That’s when things get frothy.

And that froth? That’s exactly what corrections shake out. These pullbacks work like a cleanse — they shrug off the leverage in the system and get rid of the speculative excess before it becomes a real problem.

Look, I’d rather see the market pull back 3-5% now and reset positioning than watch leverage pile up until we get a 1999-2000 situation. Back then, tech stock valuations weren’t ridiculously priced until the very end — then they went parabolic right before the crash.

That’s what happens when leverage never gets cleared out.

Why Current Sentiment Has Me Concerned

Right now, surveys show 75-80% of respondents expect the S&P 500 to hit 7,000 by year-end, which would require a 20% annual gain for the third consecutive year. That kind of consensus bullishness combined with elevated positioning is precisely the environment where a healthy correction becomes necessary.

When everyone is bullish and there’s leverage in the system, things get a little frothy. That’s not me being bearish — it’s me recognizing that markets need to breathe.

The beauty of periodic corrections is they prevent the kind of leverage buildup that leads to real crashes. They’re not bearish signals — they’re maintenance. They’re the market’s way of staying healthy for the next leg higher.

So the next time we see a sharp pullback, don’t panic. Recognize it for what it is: a leverage cleanse that’s making the bull market more sustainable.

That’s how you stay positioned for the long game instead of getting shaken out by normal volatility.

I’ll see you in the markets.

Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver Trading 

Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!

Important Note: No one from the ProsperityPub team or Chris Pulver Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram.

*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 

P.S. 1 Weekly Trade Shows the Power to Keep You ‘Inflation Proof’

Prices have risen by 20% on average since Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs…

But one weekly trade could have helped put a 20% return on your winning trades since April.

You Can Learn All About It Here

The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims and you may lose money. The results shown are from a 11-year backtest on over 550 trades. The result was a 97.1% win rate, 17% average return including winners and losers with an average hold time of 11 days. On live, closed trades from 9/30/24 – 8/4/25, the win rate is 96.4%, and the average return per trade including winners and losers is 16.84% with a 12.35-day average hold time. 

What to read next