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All eyes are on new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for FOMC Wednesday after the Bank of Japan raised rates, the Nasdaq and chip stocks have paused their relentless rally, SpaceX options go ballistic and more [tap to join us for the Daily Profit Plan]!
I’ve been tracking something that’s fundamentally changing the market’s behavior right now — and if you’re still fixated on the MAG7 stocks, you’re missing where the real action is happening.
The charts are telling a story that’s hard to ignore. Small caps are crushing the mega-cap tech darlings on a relative performance basis, and liquidity from recent headlining IPOs like SpaceX is redirecting market flows away from the mega-cap group and fueling broader sector rotation.
It’s not just the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) — the equal-weighted S&P 500 ETF (RSP) and the Dow are delivering outsized returns versus the traditional mega caps, reinforcing how widespread the rotation truly is.
This isn’t noise.
This is rotation — and the money funding this shift is coming directly out of the hyperscalers. Such rotations are simply signs of market dispersion, common in a healthy bull environment — not death knells for the overall trend.
Drivers Behind the Rotation
When I look at IWM versus the mega caps, the outperformance is undeniable. The same pattern shows up across multiple comparisons, whether it’s small caps, equal-weight or the Dow. Liquidity is being pulled into new opportunities, and the market is reallocating toward areas that have lagged for years.
Be aware: If the mega caps keep sliding, the broad market faces downside risk — even as small caps surge. Look for stability, not collapse, in the MAG7 for the healthiest market environment.
Given the upcoming FOMC and global central bank actions, anticipate heightened volatility and cross-sector moves. This rotation thesis is expected to play out over the next one to two months — allowing for trend development rather than chasing daily moves.
How I’m Positioning
I’m treating IWM as a compelling area to add exposure right now. Recent allocation into a $200 x $190 IWM structure marks an early move — I’m preparing to scale further if this momentum persists. With IWM currently trading around $293, I’m eyeing potential plays at lower strikes — maybe something around $277 or $270 in the 40- to 60-day window.
The targeted profit region — between $302 and $324 on IWM — aligns with a major symmetry zone on the chart, giving this trade a robust technical underpinning. Patience and discipline remain paramount. Option structures enable us to set favorable entry levels instead of chasing momentum.
The key here isn’t to abandon the mega caps entirely — it’s to recognize that market leadership is shifting and positioning accordingly could be the difference between capturing this next leg or watching from the sidelines. The rotation is real. The charts confirm it. And the opportunity is sitting right in front of us.
I’ll see you in the markets.
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver TradingÂ
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.Â
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