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Monday was calm but the VIX is still above 24, we have inflation data coming this week to shake things up and does oil up mean equities down? [tap to join us for the Daily Profit Plan]!
The Fed promised rate cuts — and investors positioned for them — but 2026 is telling a different story. With rates stuck and inflation rearing its head, the wall of worry is getting taller. Between geopolitical shocks and oil prices flirting with $100 a barrel, we’re seeing massive disruption and uncertainty.
This isn’t the time to blindly buy the dip in big tech. Market breath is thin and we’ve already seen a 10% correction in the S&P 500 (SPY). While it’s a trader paradise for those using directional strategies, long-term investors should remain defensive and hold cash.
Here’s what we discussed:
📉 Rate Realities: Futures markets are pricing in zero cuts for 2026 as the Fed remains backed against a wall.
🛢️ Energy Strength: Energy (XLE) is crushing it, but the broader market won’t hit new highs until Information Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) find a floor.
💵 Cash Buffers: Sitting in safe havens like SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF (BIL) or WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund (USFR) offers a safe return while waiting for better entries.
🥈 Scarcity Plays: I like Gold and Silver for the long haul, though the oil trade likely has a short lifespan.
Get the full story, then join me at 9 a.m. ET weekdays for the Daily Profit Plan!
I’ll see you in the markets.
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver Trading
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