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We have CPI on deck this morning along with earnings season starting, the Fed chair is due to speak today and tomorrow, so it’s shaping up to be a volatile week [tap to join us for the Daily Profit Plan]!
I’ve been reassessing my positioning heading into the next few months, and I’m making a deliberate shift in how I’m structuring trades.
The market’s been pushing higher without meaningful pauses until Monday’s dip, and that kind of stretch rarely lasts. After a strong rally from March through June, we’re entering a window where momentum can fade or even snap back.
I’m not betting on a crash but I’m also not assuming the current calm will carry straight through August and September. If we pull back toward previous all-time highs, that’s where I expect fills to come in and where I want to be positioned.
Multiple Risk Factors Converging This Summer
Several macro and geopolitical factors could stir up volatility. We might see typical August-September weakness or even a potential rate hike in September, and the added layer of election-related movement or renewed geopolitical tension could amplify those swings.
Any one of these could interrupt the current trend.
Sector-specific risks are also on my radar. South Korea’s market is more than 30% off its highs and major semiconductor names like Samsung Electronics (SMSN) and SK Hynix (SKHY) are under pressure. If they continue to drag, the semiconductor space could weigh on broader indexes.
After the kind of run we’ve seen, these risks deserve respect.
Why 130 Days Makes Sense Right Now
Given the setup, I’m positioning trades near the March support zone with expirations roughly 130 days out, extending into late November. This isn’t a quick 45-day swing — this is about giving the market room to shake out while maintaining structure and protection.
If we get a pullback or even a deeper retest of previous support, I want trades that can absorb that movement without forcing reactive decisions. Longer duration gives me the flexibility to ride through whatever August and September deliver whether it’s rate concerns, election anxiety or a sector rotation.
I’m not trying to predict the exact catalyst or timing. I’m constructing positions that respect where we are in the cycle and give me the patience and protection needed to navigate what comes next.
I’ll see you in the markets.
Chris Pulver
Chris Pulver TradingÂ
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.Â
P.S. Don’t Get Caught Off Guard as Inflation Spirals Out of Control!
I just went live to reveal a special Monday game plan I’ll be using to tackle rising costs…
A game plan that involves placing ONE special trade on ONE popular ticker every week, targeting weekly payouts!
