The Rational Trader: Arbitrage in Action: A 62% SPY Win
JD explains how a flat factor score vs. futures up 50 bps led to a SPY 665/664 put debit spread — closed for a 62% gain as the market drifted back to flat.
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Author: JD Dlugosch
The Rational Trader: Costco Earnings: A 2% Move Could Do It
JD breaks down a Costco earnings setup: a call debit spread that costs about $8, pays up to $20, and needs less than a 2% move higher to hit full profit.
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The Rational Trader: Accenture’s Earnings — A Simple Cash Machine Setup
JD recaps Micron’s win and lays out a put credit spread for Accenture earnings — selling the $212.50 put, hedging at $202.50, and pocketing about $1.05 net.
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The Rational Trader: Ringing the Register With Micron
JD explains why Micron’s hype-driven rally set up a simple mean reversion play: selling the $200 call into earnings, hedged with higher strikes for defined risk.
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The Rational Trader: When the News Blows Up the Trade
JD explains how a zero factor score led to a missed entry and a bad fade — until Nvidia’s $100B shock forced a reset. Tomorrow, he’s eyeing Micron for a setup.
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