JD follows up his Pepsi win with a new cash machine trade — this time on the short side. Applied Digital’s running hot into earnings, and mean reversion logic says gravity wins.
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JD breaks down a defined-risk mean reversion trade ahead of Pepsi’s earnings — a $135/$131 put spread designed to profit from stability, not prediction.
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JD lays out a mean reversion trade ahead of Constellation Brands earnings — a put debit spread targeting a 3% pullback after the stock’s expected short-lived surge above its mean.
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JD recaps the Nike trade: two sigma below its mean, puts sold, and a clean win — even as the market sagged. Q3 earnings are up next, and the playbook is ready.
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JD explains why Nike’s earnings set up a put credit spread: sell the $65 put, buy the $62 put, and collect 50 cents — unless Nike craters more than 6%.
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