The Rational Trader: Back to Earth for Constellation Brands
JD lays out a mean reversion trade ahead of Constellation Brands earnings — a put debit spread targeting a 3% pullback after the stock’s expected short-lived surge above its mean.
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Tag: Constellation Brands – STZ
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The Rational Trader: Why I’m Still Holding This Weird Trade
JD’s holding a volatility trade most traders would’ve bailed on — but the math still checks out. Here’s why he’s targeting $50 on SVXY and ignoring the noise.
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The Rational Trader: STZ Didn’t Move — And That’s EXACTLY How I Got Paid
JD recaps the STZ earnings trade — and how both the puts and calls he flagged expired worthless. A textbook mean reversion play with a 95% historical edge.
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The Rational Trader: Why I’d Risk $445 to Make $55 — And Still Call It a Good Trade
JD breaks down a simple expected value setup — and a real earnings trade in STZ — that most traders would skip, but statistically? It pays.
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