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Over the past few weeks the market has been flooded with retail traders jumping back into risk assets, chasing the melt-up with full force and acting out of pure FOMO.
When the crowd behaves like that, it usually means they were nowhere to be found during the quieter moments — the moments when real opportunities were sitting right in front of them at much better prices.
That backdrop matters because it explains exactly why the AMD (AMD) setup was so strategic earlier this year. While everyone else was pulling back or waiting for someone to tell them it was safe, AMD was quietly giving disciplined traders time to build a position.
Back in February and March, I said it was time to get some exposure. And the stock gave us plenty of opportunities to do just that…
This is exactly why patience matters in trading. High‑quality setups take time. They build, they base, they prepare.
Now AMD is lifting off with my targets ranging from $400 to $700 on the upside.
The Power of Extended Entry Windows
When a stock gives you two full months to establish a position, that’s not indecision — that’s strength. Those long, boring stretches of consolidation are where support forms, and where disciplined traders accumulate while everyone else is distracted.
During February and March, AMD wasn’t flashy or exciting. It was steady, controlled and methodical, like a coiling spring before it explodes. The traders who acted during that window are now benefitting from the upside that patience creates.
The ones rushing in now are paying a premium because they waited for the crowd instead of the charts.
The Technical Roadmap and the Importance of Discipline
The $400 to $700 target zone comes straight from Fibonacci extension work — a process that maps the magnitude of prior moves to project realistic future levels. Technical traders have used these extensions for decades because they capture how momentum behaves as it stretches from one impulse to the next.
My projection range is $300 wide because the market rarely moves in clean lines. The lower end reflects moderate momentum, while the upper end shows what happens when a strong trend accelerates.
It’s like someone jumping out of a lifeboat because the waves looked scary, then scrambling back in once a shark shows up. Once momentum turns, people rush back fast, and that rush can drive prices further than they expect.
Even so, major moves still require discipline. Volatility is part of the landscape, and not every level is meant to be traded directly. Some indicators function more like reference points than actionable entries. Knowing the difference keeps traders grounded when price accelerates and the noise gets louder.
Another important layer is how retail and institutional players behave. Retail traders tend to chase whatever is already moving, while big banks and trading desks focus on structured setups and probabilistic outcomes.
When both sides align — institutional accumulation followed by renewed retail enthusiasm — you often see powerful follow‑through.
Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading
I host my Morning Monster livestream at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday on YouTube, and then 30 Minutes of Awesome at 5 p.m. ET each Tuesday!
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Important Note: No one from the ProsperityPub team or Jeffry Turnmire Trading will ever message you directly on Telegram.
I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader.
I’ve been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it’s the Eagle Scout in me.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. The Bullseye Effect In the S&P 500 Is Changing Everything!
Kane Shieh just went on camera with former hedge fund manager Roger Scott to expose a stunning discovery on the S&P 500…
Tipping off some of the most lucrative end-of-day trades market-wide!
Fair warning: You’re in for a stunner!
