March 29, 2023

You Asked For It

To do this, the Fed created hypothetical scenarios that simulate adverse economic conditions, such as high unemployment, falling home prices, and a sharp decline in GDP. The scenarios also incorporate factors such as changes in interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.
March 29, 2023

Make That Two

Hedge fund net exposure to equities (which means subtracting short exposure from long exposure) is as low as it’s been in three years.
March 28, 2023

Bank Talk

Back in 2008, banks were ignoring the houses foreclosing in their own neighborhoods while taking free money in the form of highly-leveraged derivatives based on false mortgage grades from suspect rating companies. This time it's different.
March 27, 2023

Your Monday AAPL Update

The definition of a technical uptrend involves higher highs and higher lows. We’re now seeing that with AAPL’s stock. So, since the bottom in January, we’re officially in an uptrend. 
March 27, 2023

Battle Lines Finely Balanced Between Buyers and Sellers

The S&P is clinging on for all its worth around the range within which it has been trapped the last several months.
March 24, 2023

The Back Door to Centralized Banking

Depositor flight to higher-yielding alternatives will continue. And since the bonds bank’s own will be permanently worth less than the deposits they received to buy them, the only way to prevent the inevitable panic is to guarantee all deposits.
March 24, 2023

When I Say Capitalist

When I say capitalism, I mean free markets. I mean unfettered choice and competition that […]
March 24, 2023

When I Say Commie

When I say commie, I mean all forms of forced collectivism. I mean communists, Marxists, […]
March 22, 2023

The Most Critical Fed Meeting So Far

The one word I'm not hearing anyone use to describe the banking crisis is "accounting."
March 22, 2023

Semiconductors Looking Strong

The price moved up through the neck line (light blue line), setting up a price target above the neck line equal to the distance of the move from the head to the neck. 
March 27, 2023

Your Monday AAPL Update

The definition of a technical uptrend involves higher highs and higher lows. We’re now seeing that with AAPL’s stock. So, since the bottom in January, we’re officially in an uptrend. 
March 20, 2023

Your Monday Update on AAPL

Looking at the MACD… it’s looking bullish. But again, with the recent bankings news… I’m keeping an eye on that $157 mark. 
March 13, 2023

Your Monday Update on AAPL

Right now, Apple seems to be stuck in a channel, between $155/$157 and $147. The sideways trend for AAPL will likely continue for the next few weeks.
March 6, 2023

Your Monday Update on AAPL

MACD pointing to an imminent pullback in Apple stock.
February 27, 2023
AAPL Chart

Your Monday Update on AAPL

I believe we're entering phase 2 of a rounded bottom pattern for AAPL... where the stock goes sideways to down.
February 22, 2023

Here’s where AAPL and QQQ Could Be Headed Next

Apple’s stock is in an interesting place. It’s come all the way from the bottom of its long-term channel… bouncing from about $124 all the way to $157 where it formed what we call a “double top”.  We still have a longer-degree channel that’s moving to the downside...
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